“AI and the feeling of living in two worlds” by michel

This is a cross-post from my Substack, where I don't assume much background knowledge on AI safety and trends. I feel like I live in two different worlds sometimes. In one world, the next decade will be... normal. Sure, I’ll see the world change, but it will change in familiar ways. I’ll see wars in places other than the US and western Europe, turbulent US politics, and a steady stream of tech and societal progress. In the other world, the next decade will be.... turbo-charged by transformative AI progress.In this possible future, the abstract predictions of some AI experts and insiders today stop being abstract. I’ll actually see AI systems that can do most of work of today's software-based knowledge workers, and eventually of small organizations; I’ll see people close to me form deep relationships with AI companions; I’ll see fierce international competition to control AI [...] ---Outline:(02:13) A deep mismatch(03:20) Orienting to the possibility of rapid, transformative AI progress(05:20) I’m mostly interested in the most capable AI systems(07:35) Developing extremely capable AI systems soon poses challenges we don’t seem prepared for(11:15) If-Then updates, at a personal and policy levelThe original text contained 7 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: October 10th, 2024 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/gQMM9vFbRjvBzgnBS/ai-and-the-feeling-of-living-in-two-worlds --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.